In a recent interview, a top UN coordinator said that “The virus is likely to be with us for the five or ten years to come”. While we like to think that we can just avoid illness and disease by staying in our own corner of the world, things like virus tend to mutate and, if it turns into a form that is easily transferred person-to-person, then it could travel the globe very quickly and easily enter even small cities and towns.

Nabarro said, “the risk of a mutation to cause pandemic is still very much there. As long as the virus is present in birds, there will also be a threat of sporadic human infection, and a possibility of a mutation which would cause at the end of the day a pandemic.”

“Trying to estimate the potential mortality of a pandemic is very hard. What I’ve already said is that you could have of range of between five and 150 million” deaths, he said.

“It’s the reason why I do think we a have to put now plenty of energy towards a long term reform of the poultry farming techniques, in order to reduce the risks of human infection.”

It’s good to see that at least some in the international community are keeping an eye on how these kinds of diseases are developing and speaking out on the real threats they pose. Until the reforms on the poultry industry in various countries are put in place, there is still the possibility of a viral mutation that could make bird flu pass easily from person to person.

People really need to keep their awareness up of these kinds of possibilities and take action to at least protect themselves and their families now, while they still have a chance..

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